{"id":30876,"date":"2022-09-29T13:36:48","date_gmt":"2022-09-29T08:06:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/?p=30876"},"modified":"2024-03-09T12:29:07","modified_gmt":"2024-03-09T06:59:07","slug":"how-should-india-prepare-for-recession","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/hi\/how-should-india-prepare-for-recession\/","title":{"rendered":"How should India prepare for Recession?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>How should India prepare for Recession?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">&#8220;There is now a 98% chance of a global recession&#8221;, stock markets around the world, including in India, Plunged over the same fears, and many currencies, including the rupee, dipped as soon as the report was released by Ned Davis Research.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The Reserve Bank of India\u2019s (RBI\u2019s) monetary policy committee (MPC) will meet sooner, and consensus estimates point to a 0.5 percentage point (500 basis point or bps) increase. It seems that these fears are real.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Most institutional and private forecasters believe that the forthcoming winter will usher in a long economic winter of slow growth, if not outright contraction.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), which released its Interim Economic Outlook Report on September 26, expects global gross domestic product (GDP) to grow at just 2.2% in 2023, 60 bps, one basis point is one hundredth of a percentage point, lower than what it projected in June.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">The situation is much worse for advanced economies. The euro area is expected to grow at 0.3% (June forecast was 2%) and the US is expected to grow at 0.5% (June forecast was 1.2%).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">How will this affect the Indian economy? <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">OECD has retained India\u2019s growth estimate for 2022-23 at 6.9%, and S&amp;P at 7.3%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">What should India\u2019s response be?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Pranab Sen, India\u2019s former chief statistician, said economic policy should guard against adventure. We will have to accept that there is going to be a deceleration in the growth rate of the economy as the export engine will slow because of the global slowdown and domestic demand, both from the consumption and investment side, is yet to gather momentum.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-28396\" src=\"https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/Magnus-Plywood-1-300x138.png\" alt=\"IMF's warning on recession\" width=\"111\" height=\"51\" srcset=\"https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/Magnus-Plywood-1-300x138.png 300w, https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/Magnus-Plywood-1-768x353.png 768w, https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/Magnus-Plywood-1.png 943w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 111px) 100vw, 111px\" \/>\u00a0 <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-20730\" src=\"https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/Empire-300x109.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"141\" height=\"51\" srcset=\"https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/Empire-300x109.jpg 300w, https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/Empire.jpg 383w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 141px) 100vw, 141px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924 \u0915\u094b \u092e\u0902\u0926\u0940 \u0915\u0940 \u0924\u0948\u092f\u093e\u0930\u0940 \u0915\u0948\u0938\u0947 \u0915\u0930\u0928\u0940 \u091a\u093e\u0939\u093f\u090f?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">&#8220;\u0935\u0948\u0936\u094d\u0935\u093f\u0915 \u092e\u0902\u0926\u0940 \u0915\u0940 \u0905\u092c 98 \u092b\u0940\u0938\u0926\u0940 \u0938\u0902\u092d\u093e\u0935\u0928\u093e \u0939\u0948&#8221;, \u0928\u0947\u0921 \u0921\u0947\u0935\u093f\u0938 \u0930\u093f\u0938\u0930\u094d\u091a \u0915\u0947 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\u0906\u092e \u0938\u0939\u092e\u0924\u093f \u0915\u093e \u0905\u0928\u0941\u092e\u093e\u0928 0.5 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u0936\u0924 \u092c\u093f\u0902\u0926\u0941 (500 \u0906\u0927\u093e\u0930 \u092c\u093f\u0902\u0926\u0941) \u0915\u0940 \u0935\u0943\u0926\u094d\u0927\u093f \u0915\u0940 \u0913\u0930 \u0907\u0936\u093e\u0930\u093e \u0915\u0930\u0924\u093e \u0939\u0948\u0964 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u092e\u093e\u0928 \u0939\u0948 \u0915\u093f \u092f\u0947 \u0921\u0930 \u0938\u0939\u0940 \u0939\u0948\u0902\u0964<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0905\u0927\u093f\u0915\u093e\u0902\u0936 \u0938\u0902\u0938\u094d\u0925\u093e\u0917\u0924 \u0914\u0930 \u0928\u093f\u091c\u0940 \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0935\u093e\u0928\u0941\u092e\u093e\u0928\u0915\u0930\u094d\u0924\u093e\u0913\u0902 \u0915\u093e \u092e\u093e\u0928\u0928\u093e \u0939\u0948 \u0915\u093f \u0906\u0917\u093e\u092e\u0940 \u0938\u0930\u094d\u0926\u0940 \u0927\u0940\u092e\u0940 \u0935\u0943\u0926\u094d\u0927\u093f 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\u0938\u0915\u0932 \u0918\u0930\u0947\u0932\u0942 \u0909\u0924\u094d\u092a\u093e\u0926 (\u091c\u0940\u0921\u0940\u092a\u0940) 2023 \u092e\u0947\u0902 \u0938\u093f\u0930\u094d\u092b 2.2 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u0936\u0924, 60 \u092c\u0940\u092a\u0940\u090f\u0938 \u0915\u0940 \u0926\u0930 \u0938\u0947 \u092c\u095d\u0947\u0917\u093e, \u090f\u0915 \u0906\u0927\u093e\u0930 \u092c\u093f\u0902\u0926\u0941 \u090f\u0915 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u0936\u0924 \u0905\u0902\u0915 \u0915\u093e \u0938\u094c\u0935\u093e\u0902 \u0939\u093f\u0938\u094d\u0938\u093e \u0939\u0948\u0964 \u091c\u094b \u091c\u0942\u0928 \u092e\u0947\u0902 \u0907\u0938\u0915\u0947 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u092e\u093e\u0928 \u0938\u0947 \u0915\u093e\u092b\u0940 \u0915\u092e \u0939\u0948\u0964<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0909\u0928\u094d\u0928\u0924 \u0905\u0930\u094d\u0925\u0935\u094d\u092f\u0935\u0938\u094d\u0925\u093e\u0913\u0902 \u0915\u0947 \u0932\u093f\u090f \u0938\u094d\u0925\u093f\u0924\u093f \u092c\u0939\u0941\u0924 \u0916\u0930\u093e\u092c \u0939\u0948\u0964 \u092f\u0942\u0930\u094b \u0915\u094d\u0937\u0947\u0924\u094d\u0930 0.3 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u0936\u0924 (\u091c\u0942\u0928 \u0915\u093e \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0935\u093e\u0928\u0941\u092e\u093e\u0928 2 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u0936\u0924) \u0914\u0930 \u0905\u092e\u0947\u0930\u093f\u0915\u093e 0.5 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u0936\u0924 (\u091c\u0942\u0928 \u0915\u093e \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0935\u093e\u0928\u0941\u092e\u093e\u0928 1.2 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u0936\u0924) \u092a\u0930 \u092c\u095d\u0928\u0947 \u0915\u0940 \u0909\u092e\u094d\u092e\u0940\u0926 \u0939\u0948\u0964<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u092f\u0939 \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924\u0940\u092f \u0905\u0930\u094d\u0925\u0935\u094d\u092f\u0935\u0938\u094d\u0925\u093e \u0915\u094b \u0915\u0948\u0938\u0947 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u092d\u093e\u0935\u093f\u0924 \u0915\u0930\u0947\u0917\u093e? <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0913\u0908\u0938\u0940\u0921\u0940 \u0928\u0947 2022-23 \u0915\u0947 \u0932\u093f\u090f \u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924 \u0915\u0947 \u0935\u093f\u0915\u093e\u0938 \u0905\u0928\u0941\u092e\u093e\u0928 \u0915\u094b 6.9 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u0936\u0924 \u0914\u0930 \u090f\u0938\u090f\u0902\u0921\u092a\u0940 \u0915\u094b 7.3 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u0936\u0924 \u092a\u0930 \u092c\u0930\u0915\u0930\u093e\u0930 \u0930\u0916\u093e \u0939\u0948\u0964<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924 \u0915\u0940 \u092a\u094d\u0930\u0924\u093f\u0915\u094d\u0930\u093f\u092f\u093e \u0915\u094d\u092f\u093e \u0939\u094b\u0928\u0940 \u091a\u093e\u0939\u093f\u090f?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u092d\u093e\u0930\u0924 \u0915\u0947 \u092a\u0942\u0930\u094d\u0935 \u092e\u0941\u0916\u094d\u092f \u0938\u093e\u0902\u0916\u094d\u092f\u093f\u0915\u0940\u0935\u093f\u0926\u094d 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\u0938\u0947 \u0915\u092e\u0940 \u0915\u0947 \u0915\u093e\u0930\u0923 \u2018\u0928\u093f\u0930\u094d\u092f\u093e\u0924 \u0907\u0902\u091c\u0928 \u0927\u0940\u092e\u093e \u0939\u094b \u091c\u093e\u090f\u0917\u093e\u2018 \u091c\u093f\u0938\u0947 \u0917\u0924\u093f \u092e\u093f\u0932\u0928\u093e \u0905\u092d\u0940 \u092c\u093e\u0915\u0940 \u0939\u0948\u0964<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<div class=\"vc_row wpb_row\"><div class=\"wpb_column column_container col-sm-12\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t<div class=\"wpb_raw_code wpb_raw_html wpb_content_element\" >\n\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<html>\n<head>\n<\/head>\n<body>\n  <marquee behavior=\"scrolling\" direction=\"left\" scrollamount=\"3\" seamless>\n    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/Logos.png\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" alt=\"Natural\" \/>\n <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" 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The Reserve Bank of India\u2019s (RBI\u2019s) monetary [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":30877,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3529],"tags":[3551,3552,3550,603,322,3553,3549,550],"class_list":["post-30876","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-november-news-22","tag-adveture","tag-demestic-demand","tag-economic-policy","tag-economy","tag-gdp","tag-global-slowdown","tag-outlook-report","tag-recession"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How should India prepare for Recession? - PLY INSIGHT<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/plyinsight.com\/hi\/how-should-india-prepare-for-recession\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"hi_IN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How should India prepare for Recession? - PLY INSIGHT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; How should India prepare for Recession? &#8220;There is now a 98% chance of a global recession&#8221;, stock markets around the world, including in India, Plunged over the same fears, and many currencies, including the rupee, dipped as soon as the report was released by Ned Davis Research. 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